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From the Trenches: Forget David Bailey's Forty Time. Go Watch His Hands.

The top defensive prospect in the draft has a refined hand counter that most college players never develop. The tape shows it. The measurements only confirm it.

Forget the forty time. I know everyone wants to talk about the forty time.

David Bailey ran a 4.50 at this combine at 6-3, 260 pounds, and yes, that's a real number for a player his size, and yes, it matters. But the forty tells you one thing: straight-line first-step speed. It does not tell you whether a player can turn the corner on an NFL tackle, whether his pass rush moves hold up when a right tackle gives him a firm set and takes away the speed path, or whether he's a two-down specialist or an every-down disruptor.

The tape answers all of those questions. Go watch Texas Tech's 2025 season tape, specifically the games against teams with professional-caliber right tackles. What you'll see is a player who does several things at an elite level.

His initial get-off is the first thing. Bailey's snap timing is exceptional — he reads the ball rather than the count, which means he's moving when the ball moves, not a beat after. Against good linemen, that beat is the entire play.

The second thing is his hand usage on contact. When a right tackle tries to punch and establish the inside hand, Bailey has a counter — a quick outside swipe that redirects the tackle's momentum and creates a lane inside. It's not a move most college players have. It requires recognizing the punch before it lands and reacting to the anticipation, not the contact. That's a refined technique for a player at this level.

What he doesn't do perfectly — and this is worth noting because the perfect players don't exist — is convert speed to power consistently. When a tackle squares him up and neutralizes the speed rush, Bailey's bull rush counter isn't there yet. He'll need to develop it at the NFL level or offensive coordinators will game-plan around his tendency to go back to the speed move and give their tackles a cheat.

That's a coachable problem. It's a problem that ten years of NFL strength work will fix.

Bailey is the best defensive player in this draft. The tape says so, and the forty time is just confirmation.

Offtackle Staff Writers

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